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The Federal Reserve Buys Time: Rates on hold and lips sealed

The Federal Reserve keeps policy rates unchanged, avoids discussing policy changes from Washington.
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A playbook for how to measure a tariff shock in Canada

As the threat of tariffs loom over Canada, here is a framework that will guide economists—and everyone else—through the complicated path ahead.
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Navigating 2025: Looking better and unsettling all at once

Here are the key economic themes that will shape how businesses and governments navigate opportunities and risks on the horizon, along with their...
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Proof Point: Canadian industries and provinces most exposed to U.S. tariff threat

Restrictions to the flow of goods and services across the U.S. border could seriously harm Canadian businesses and communities.
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Immigration cuts will help narrow Canada’s housing gap but won’t solve crisis

Immigration cuts will help narrow Canada’s housing gap but won’t solve crisis

The drastic reduction in immigration targets announced by the federal government is one of the more consequential policy reversals in recent memory.
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<b>Proof point:</b> Why Canada is seeing an uneven recovery among households

Proof point: Why Canada is seeing an uneven recovery among households

Households in aggregate are sitting on record levels of savings. But under the surface, there are clear signs the average Canadian consumer is...
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U.S. GDP Update

U.S. GDP Update

The economy expanded an annualized 2.8% in Q2, almost double the 1.4% growth rate in Q1.
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U.S. Labour Market

U.S. Labour Market

October’s payroll gain was heavily distorted by the impact of hurricanes, a large manufacturing sector strike, and an unusually low survey response...
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Canadian GDP Update

Canadian GDP Update

GDP data in Canada continues to paint a soft picture of the economy, with output growth stagnating in August and downward revisions to June and July...
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Proof Point: Are falling rents in Canada temporary relief or a new trend

The asking rent for units across Canada fell for the first time in three years in October with big declines seen in the largest and most expensive...
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Quebec maintains large deficit, uses half its contingency reserve for spending

Quebec’s 2024 economic update looks uneventful on the surface, but more is happening underneath with larger federal transfers and new spending.
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Proof point: Canada’s job market slump—low-wage industries with young workers take the biggest hit

Lower-wage industries in Canada with more younger workers have been disproportionately impacted by the recent softening in labour demand.
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