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Economic Updates

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Ontario’s economic outlook brightens but immigration targets increase risks

Ontario’s economic outlook brightens but immigration targets increase risks

Recent changes to the federal immigration plan weren’t accounted for in the underlying economic assumptions, adding downside risk to the fiscal...
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Immigration cuts will help narrow Canada’s housing gap but won’t solve crisis

Immigration cuts will help narrow Canada’s housing gap but won’t solve crisis

The drastic reduction in immigration targets announced by the federal government is one of the more consequential policy reversals in recent memory.
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<b>Proof point:</b> Why Canada is seeing an uneven recovery among households

Proof point: Why Canada is seeing an uneven recovery among households

Households in aggregate are sitting on record levels of savings. But under the surface, there are clear signs the average Canadian consumer is...
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U.S. GDP Update

U.S. GDP Update

The economy expanded an annualized 2.8% in Q2, almost double the 1.4% growth rate in Q1.
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Forward Guidance: Our Weekly Preview

Forward Guidance: Our Weekly Preview

We think Friday’s Canadian employment report should tell a familiar story—that the labour market has continued to weaken in October amid slowing...
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U.S. Labour Market

U.S. Labour Market

October’s payroll gain was heavily distorted by the impact of hurricanes, a large manufacturing sector strike, and an unusually low survey response...
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Canadian GDP Update

Canadian GDP Update

GDP data in Canada continues to paint a soft picture of the economy, with output growth stagnating in August and downward revisions to June and July...
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<b>Podcast: The 10-Minute Take</b>

Podcast: The 10-Minute Take

Claire Fan and Carrie Freestone discuss the jumbo BoC interest rate cut, why it was bigger and what to expect going forward, given the new immigration...
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How Canada’s new immigration targets will impact the economy

How Canada’s new immigration targets will impact the economy

The Canadian government has been under growing pressure to align the inflow of newcomers to the country with current labour market needs and...
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Bank of Canada policy update

Bank of Canada policy update

After a first interest rate cut in June, the Bank of Canada again lowered its key overnight rate by 25 basis points to 4.5%.
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<b>Proof point:</b> Job market is bigger risk to Canada’s economy than mortgage renewals

Proof point: Job market is bigger risk to Canada’s economy than mortgage renewals

Higher mortgage payments certainly hurt the total amount of income available in the economy to spend, but higher unemployment does as well.
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